Trading For Dummies (For Dummies (Business & Personal Finance)) - Original PDF

دانلود کتاب Trading For Dummies (For Dummies (Business & Personal Finance)) - Original PDF

Author: Grayson D. Roze, Lita Epstein

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Become a savvy trader and make money in both up and down markets These days, the market is volatile, and you need to know how to ride the waves and navigate the changing tides. Trading For Dummies is for investors in search of a clear guide to trading stocks in any type of market. Inside, you'll get sample stock charts, position trading tips and techniques, and fresh ways to analyze trends and indicators. Learn how to make smart decisions by identifying the stocks, bonds, funds, and commodities that will net you the maximum gain. Assume more risk, reap more benefits, build a more aggressive portfolio, and enjoy the greater gains that come with short- and medium-term trading methods. Learn about due diligence, key indicator analysis, and reading market trends Trade successfully in downward market trends and during recessions Use the latest tools to create your own charts and make smart decisions Profit from ETFs, bonds, and commodities, along with good old-fashioned stocks

سرچ در وردکت | سرچ در گودریدز | سرچ در اب بوکز | سرچ در آمازون | سرچ در گوگل بوک

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Trading used to be the purview of institutional and corporate entities that had direct access to closed securities trading systems. Technical advances leveled the playing field, making securities trading much more accessible to individuals. After the stock market crash of 2000, when many people lost large sums of money because professional advisors or mutual fund managers didn’t protect their portfolio principal, investors chose one of two options — getting out of the market altogether and seeking safety or finding out more about how to manage their own portfolios. Many who came back into the market ran from it again in late 2008, when the market saw its worst year since the Great Depression. In 2017, the stock market roared to a high of the Dow Jones Index topping 21,000. The race up the ladder continued until it reached a high of 36,226 in December 2022, but then the next correction began. The Dow closed at 34,200 on November 25, 2022 — still considerably higher than the 2017 top of 21,000. The concept of buying and holding forever died after that 2000 stock crash; it saw some revival from 2004 to 2007 but then suffered another death in 2008. People today look for new ways to invest and trade. Although investors still prac- tice careful portfolio balancing using a buy-and-hold strategy, they look much more critically at what they’re holding and are more likely to change their hold- ings now than they were before the crash. Others have gotten out of the stock market completely. Still others have moved on to the world of trading. Many kinds of traders ply their skills in the markets. The ones who like to take on the most risk and want to trade as a full-time business look to day trading. They never hold a position in a security overnight. Swing traders hold their positions a bit longer, sometimes for a few days or even a few weeks. But we don’t focus on the riskier types of trading in this book; instead, we focus on position trading, which involves executing trades in and out of positions and holding positions for a few weeks or months and maybe even a year or more, depending on trends that are evident in the economy, the marketplace, and ultimately individual stocks

چکیده فارسی

 

تجارت قبلاً در حیطه اختیار نهادهای نهادی و شرکتی بود که دسترسی مستقیم به سیستم های معاملاتی بسته اوراق بهادار داشتند. پیشرفت های فنی زمین بازی را مساوی کرد و معاملات اوراق بهادار را برای افراد بسیار قابل دسترس تر کرد. پس از سقوط بازار سهام در سال 2000، زمانی که بسیاری از مردم مبالغ هنگفتی را از دست دادند زیرا مشاوران حرفه‌ای یا مدیران صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری مشترک از اصل پرتفوی خود محافظت نکردند، سرمایه‌گذاران یکی از این دو گزینه را انتخاب کردند - خروج کامل از بازار و جستجوی امنیت یا پیدا کردن آن. بیشتر در مورد نحوه مدیریت پورتفولیوهای خود. بسیاری از کسانی که به بازار بازگشتند، در اواخر سال 2008، زمانی که بازار بدترین سال خود را از زمان رکود بزرگ مشاهده کرد، دوباره از آن فرار کردند. در سال 2017، بازار سهام به بالاترین سطح شاخص داوجونز رسید و به بالای 21000 رسید. صعود از نردبان ادامه یافت تا اینکه در دسامبر 2022 به 36226 رسید، اما پس از آن اصلاح بعدی آغاز شد. Dow در 25 نوامبر 2022 در 34200 بسته شد - هنوز هم به طور قابل توجهی بالاتر از بالای 21000 در سال 2017 است. مفهوم خرید و نگهداری برای همیشه پس از سقوط سهام در سال 2000 از بین رفت. از سال 2004 تا 2007 احیا شد، اما در سال 2008 مرگ دیگری را تجربه کرد. امروزه مردم به دنبال راه‌های جدیدی برای سرمایه‌گذاری و تجارت هستند. اگرچه سرمایه‌گذاران هنوز با استفاده از استراتژی خرید و نگه‌داشتن، متعادل‌سازی پرتفوی دقیقی را انجام می‌دهند، اما با نگاه انتقادی‌تری به آنچه در اختیار دارند نگاه می‌کنند و به احتمال زیاد اکنون نسبت به قبل از سقوط دارایی‌های خود را تغییر می‌دهند. برخی دیگر به طور کامل از بورس خارج شده اند. هنوز دیگران به دنیای تجارت رفته اند. بسیاری از انواع معامله گران مهارت های خود را در بازار به کار می برند. کسانی که دوست دارند بیشترین ریسک را بپذیرند و می خواهند به عنوان یک تجارت تمام وقت معامله کنند، به تجارت روزانه نگاه می کنند. آنها هرگز یک شبه در یک موقعیت امنیتی قرار نمی گیرند. معامله گران سوئینگ موقعیت های خود را کمی طولانی تر نگه می دارند، گاهی اوقات برای چند روز یا حتی چند هفته. اما ما در این کتاب روی انواع معاملات پرخطرتر تمرکز نمی کنیم. در عوض، ما بر معاملات موقعیت تمرکز می کنیم، که شامل انجام معاملات در داخل و خارج از موقعیت ها و حفظ موقعیت برای چند هفته یا ماه و شاید حتی یک سال یا بیشتر، بسته به روندهایی است که در اقتصاد، بازار، و در نهایت فردی مشهود است. سهام

 

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Author(s): Grayson D. Roze, Lita Epstein

Publisher: For Dummies, Year: 2023

ISBN: 1394161484,9781394161485

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Table of Contents ix Selecting a Trading Platform 54 Browser-based trading environments 55 Integrated trading platforms 56 Features to consider 57 Determining Computer Requirements 58 Weighing Windows versus Mac versus Linux 58 Configuring your computer system 59 Accessing the Internet 61 Picking a browser 61 Securing your computer 61 PART 2: READING THE FUNDAMENTALS: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS 63 CHAPTER 5: Fundamentals 101: Observing Market Behavior 65 The Basics of the Business Cycle 66 Understanding how periods of economic growth and recession are determined 67 Using economic indicators to determine the strength of the economy 68 Relating bull markets and bear markets to the economy 70 Employing a Sector Rotation Strategy 70 Early recovery 71 Full recovery 72 Early recession 72 Full recession 73 Sector rotation 73 Understanding Economic Indicators 74 Interest rates 74 Money supply 75 Inflation rate 76 Deflation 78 Jobless claims 78 Consumer confidence 79 Business activity 80 Using Data from Economic Indicators 81 CHAPTER 6: Digging Into Fundamental Analysis 83 Checking Out the Income Statement 84 Revenues 85 Cost of goods sold 85 Gross margins 86 Expenses 87 Interest payments 88 Tax payments 89 x Trading For Dummies Dividend payments 89 Profitability 90 Looking at Cash Flow 91 Operating activities 92 Financing activities 93 Investment activities 94 Scouring the Balance Sheet 94 Analyzing assets 95 Looking at debt 96 Reviewing goodwill 97 Determining Stock Valuations 97 Earnings 98 Earnings growth rate 98 Figuring Your Ratios: Comparing One Company’s Stock to Another 99 Price/earnings ratio 100 Price/book ratio 100 Return on assets 101 CHAPTER 7: Listening to Analyst Calls 103 Getting to Know Your Analysts 104 Buy-side analysts: You won’t see them 104 Sell-side analysts: Watch for conflicts 104 Independent analysts: Where are they? 106 The Importance of Analysts 107 Tracking how a company’s doing 108 Providing access to analyst calls 108 Pointers for Listening to Analyst Calls 110 Understanding the analysts’ language 111 Developing your listening skills 112 Locating Company Calls 115 Identifying Trends in the Stock-Analyst Community 115 PART 3: READING THE CHARTS: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 117 CHAPTER 8: Seeing Is Believing: An Introduction to Technical Analysis 119 Understanding the Methodology 120 Finding everything in the price 121 Seeing that price movements are not always random 122 Balancing supply and demand 122 Understanding where you’ve been 123 Understanding where you’re headed 125 Table of Contents xi Answering the Detractors 125 Walking randomly 126 Trading signals known to all 127 Executing Your Trading Plan 128 Using StockCharts.com 129 CHAPTER 9: Reading Bar Charts Is Easy (Really) 131 Creating a Price Chart 132 Looking at a single price bar 133 Measuring volume 134 Coloring charts 136 Identifying Simple Single-Day Patterns 136 Single-bar patterns 136 Reversal patterns 138 Recognizing Trends and Trading Ranges 139 Discerning a trading range 139 Spotting a trend 141 Paying attention to time frame 142 Searching for Transitions 143 Support and resistance: The keys to trend transitions 143 Finding a breakout 144 Sipping from a cup and handle 147 Deciding what to do with a double bottom 148 An alternative double-bottom strategy 149 Looking at other patterns 149 CHAPTER 10: Following Trends to Boost Your Probability of Success 151 Identifying Trends 152 Supporting and Resisting Trends 153 Drawing trend lines to show support 154 Using channels 156 Trending and channeling strategies 156 Seeing Gaps 158 Common gap 158 Breakout or breakaway gap 158 Continuation gap 159 Exhaustion gap 159 Island gap 160 Waving Flags and Pennants 161 Withstanding Retracements 162 Three-step and five-step retracements 162 Subsequent trading ranges 164 xii Trading For Dummies Dealing with Failed Signals 165 Trapping bulls and bears 165 Filling the gaps 165 Deciding whether to reverse directions 166 CHAPTER 11: Calculating Indicators and Oscillators 167 The Ins and Outs of Moving Averages 168 Simple moving average 169 Exponential moving average 171 Comparing SMAs and EMAs 173 Interpreting and using moving averages 175 Support and resistance factors 177 Deciding the moving average time frame 177 Understanding Buy and Sell Pressure through Stochastic Oscillators 178 Calculating stochastic oscillators 179 Interpreting stochastic oscillators 179 Tracking Momentum with the MACD 181 Calculating the MACD 181 Using the MACD 183 Revealing Relative Strength 185 Calculating relative strength 186 Putting relative strength to work 187 PART 4: DEVELOPING STRATEGIES FOR WHEN TO BUY AND SELL STOCKS 189 CHAPTER 12: Money Management Techniques: Building a More Robust Portfolio 191 Achieving Your Trading Goals with Smart Money Management 192 Managing Your Portfolio 193 Thinking of trading as a business 193 Recognizing the trader’s dilemma 194 Finding a better plan 195 Protecting Your Principal 197 Recovering from a large loss: It ain’t easy 198 Setting a target price for handling losses 199 Strategies for managing profitable trades 201 Understanding Your Risks 205 Market risks 205 Investment risks 206 Trading risks 206 Table of Contents xiii CHAPTER 13: Combining Fundamental and Technical Analyses for Optimum Strategy 209 Seeing the Big Picture 210 Knowing when the Fed is your friend 211 Keeping an eye on industrial production 211 Watching sector rotation 212 Finding the dominant trend 216 Selecting Your Trading Stock 221 Trading Strategies 223 Trading the bullish transition 223 Trading in a bull market 223 Trading the bullish pullback 224 Trading the bearish transition 224 Trading in a bear market 225 Trading the bearish pullback 225 A hypothetical trading example 225 CHAPTER 14: Minimizing Trading Risks Using Exchange-Traded Funds 229 What Is an ETF? 229 Examining the advantages 230 Avoiding the flaws 231 Does Family Matter? 231 Market-weighted ETFs 232 Equal-weighted ETFs 233 Fundamentally weighted ETFs 233 Sector Rotation Strategies 234 Early recovery 234 Full recovery 234 Early recession 235 Full recession 235 Analyzing ETFs 235 Portfolio Construction 237 International trading with ETFs 237 Commodities and ETFs 237 Currency trading and ETFs 237 Leveraged ETFs 238 Inverse ETFs 238 Actively Managed ETFs 238 CHAPTER 15: Executing Your Trades 239 Entering and Exiting Your Trade 239 Keeping straight the bid and the ask 241 Understanding the spread 242 xiv Trading For Dummies Devising an effective order-entry strategy 242 Timing your trades: Entering orders after the market closes 245 Reviewing a week in the life of a trader 246 Selling Stocks Short 251 Avoiding Regulatory Pitfalls 252 Understanding trade-settlement dates 252 Avoiding free riding 253 Avoiding margin calls and forced sales 254 Avoiding pattern-day-trader restrictions 256 The Tax Man Cometh 256 CHAPTER 16: Developing Your Own Powerful Trading System 257 Understanding Trading Systems 258 Discretionary systems 259 Mechanical systems 259 Trend-following systems 260 Countertrend systems 261 Selecting System-Development Tools 262 Choosing system-development hardware 262 Deciding on system-development software 262 Finding historical data for system testing 264 Developing and Testing Trading Systems 265 Working with trend-following systems 265 Using breakout trading systems 268 Accounting for slippage 270 Keeping a Trading Journal 273 Evaluating Trading Systems for Hire 274 PART 5: RISK-TAKER’S PARADISE 277 CHAPTER 17: The Basics of Swing Trading 279 Selecting Stocks Carefully 279 Looking at Swing-Trading Strategies 281 Trading trending stocks 281 Trading range-bound stocks 285 Trading volatility 286 Money management issues 288 Using Options for Swing Trading 289 Getting a Grip on Swing-Trading Risks 291 Taxes (of course) 291 Pattern-day-trading rules apply 292 Table of Contents xv CHAPTER 18: The Basics of Day Trading 293 What Day Trading Is All About 294 Institutional day traders (market makers) 294 Retail day traders 294 Understanding Account Restrictions 297 The Fed’s Regulation T: Margin requirements 297 Settlement: No free rides 299 Strategies for Successful Day Trading 299 Technical needs 300 Trading patterns 300 Scalping 301 Trend traders 301 Recognizing That Risks Are High 301 Liquidity 302 Slippage 302 Trading costs 303 Taxes (of course) 304 Avoiding the Most Common Mistakes 305 CHAPTER 19: Doing It by Derivatives 309 Types of Derivatives: Futures and Options 310 Buy now, pay later: Futures 310 Wait and see: Options 314 Buying Options and Futures Contracts 319 Opening an account 319 Calculating the price and making a buy 320 Options for Getting Out of Options 321 Offsetting the option 321 Holding the option 322 Exercising the option 322 The Risks of Trading Options and Futures 323 Minimizing Risks 324 CHAPTER 20: Going Foreign (Forex) 327 Exploring the World of Forex 328 Types of currency traders 328 Why currency changes in value 329 What traders do 330 Understanding Money Jargon 331 Spot transactions 332 Forward transactions 332 Options 333 Looking at How Money Markets Work 334 xvi Trading For Dummies Different countries, different rules 334 The almighty (U.S.) dollar 335 Organized exchanges 335 Taking Necessary Risks in the World Money Market 336 Understanding the types of risks 337 Seeking risk protection 340 Getting Ready to Trade Money 340 PART 6: THE PART OF TENS 343 CHAPTER 21: More Than Ten Huge Trading Mistakes 345 Fishing for Bottoms 345 Timing the Top 346 Trading against the Dominant Trend 346 Winging It 347 Taking Trading Personally 348 Falling in Love 348 Using After-Hours Market Orders 348 Chasing a Runaway Trend 349 Averaging Down 349 Ignoring Your Stops 350 Diversifying Badly 350 Enduring Large Losses 350 CHAPTER 22: Ten Trading Survival Techniques 353 Build Your Trading Tool Chest 353 Choose and Use Your Favorite Tools Wisely 354 Use Both Technical and Fundamental Analyses 354 Count on the Averages to Make Your Moves 355 Develop and Manage Your Trading System 356 Know Your Costs 356 Have an Exit Strategy 357 Watch for Signals, Don’t Anticipate Them 357 Buy on Strength, Sell on Weakness 357 Keep a Trading Journal and Review It Often 358 INDEX 359

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