Making a Market for Acts of God: The Practice of Risk Trading in the Global Reinsurance Industry - Original PDF

دانلود کتاب Making a Market for Acts of God: The Practice of Risk Trading in the Global Reinsurance Industry - Original PDF

Author: Paula Jarzabkowski, Rebecca Bednarek, Paul Spee

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Reinsurance is a financial market that trades in the risk of unpredictable and devastating disasters - such as Hurricane Katrina, the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, and the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Centre. Such disasters are increasing in both frequency and severity, with the cost of their losses mounting rapidly. Reinsurance insures insurance companies, enabling them to pay claims arising from these losses. It is thus a market mechanism that is a critical part of the social and economic safety net, helping to pick up the pieces after disasters. Yet, how is the risk of such disasters calculated and traded in a global market? This book brings to life the reinsurance market through vivid real-life tales that draw from an ethnographic, "fly-on-the-wall" study of the global reinsurance industry over three annual cycles. The authors shadowed underwriters around the world as they traded risks through multiple disasters. For instance, this book takes readers into the desperate hours of pricing Japanese risks during March 2011, while the devastating aftermath of the Tohoku earthquake is unfolding. To show how the market works, the book offers authentic tales gathered from observations of reinsurers in Bermuda, Lloyd's of London, Continental Europe and SE Asia as they evaluate, price and compete for different risks as part of their everyday practice. Understanding how this market for disasters works has never been more critical given the impact of climate change and increased global connectivity, where a flood in one country can trigger losses to supply chains around the world. The authors develop a novel concept of how global markets work, which advances scholarship and challenges current thinking about how financial markets trade in intangible assets such as risk. This book will be useful to readers interested in markets for disasters, insurance, reinsurance and financial markets, and academics interested in the practice of financial markets specifically or the practice of strategy and organizations generally.

سرچ در وردکت | سرچ در گودریدز | سرچ در اب بوکز | سرچ در آمازون | سرچ در گوگل بوک

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1 Reinsurance A Market for Acts of God It’s the unknown unknowns that we have to think about. By buying rein- surance we’re transferring the risk of what we don’t know, what we don’t understand. And if we don’t buy enough cover, then we could have some very nasty shocks. (Interview with a senior executive in a large insurance company explaining the purpose of reinsurance) Reinsurance-as-Practice 1A Tōhoku Earthquake and Tsunami Shocks Japan . . . and its Reinsurers On March 11, 2011 at 14:46 JST, the earth shook seventy kilometers (forty-three miles) off the Oshika Peninsula of Tōhoku in Japan.1 Even in a country histori- cally well prepared for unstable ground, this magnitude nine earthquake was beyond anything anyone had predicted; it was the most powerful earthquake ever recorded to have hit Japan. The underwater shock generated powerful tsunami waves up to 40.5 meters high, and the devastation on land was hor- rific: 17,500 people died, 6,109 were injured, 2,848 went missing, and 340,000 people were displaced from the Tōhoku region. Beyond the human tragedy, this was also a physical disaster: 127,290 buildings collapsed, another 272,788 semi-collapsed, and a further 747,898 were partially damaged.2 In addition, criti- cal infrastructure such as roads and railways was damaged, a dam collapsed and the nuclear power center at Fukushima went into meltdown, displacing thou- sands of employees and nearby residents, and creating an ongoing crisis with terrifying implications for the whole region

چکیده فارسی

 

1 بیمه اتکایی بازاری برای اعمال خدا این ناشناخته های ناشناخته است که باید به آنها فکر کنیم. با خرید بیمه اتکایی، ریسک چیزهایی را که نمی‌دانیم، چیزی که نمی‌فهمیم، منتقل می‌کنیم. و اگر پوشش کافی نخریم، ممکن است شوک های بسیار بدی داشته باشیم. (مصاحبه با یکی از مدیران ارشد یک شرکت بیمه بزرگ که هدف از بیمه اتکایی را توضیح می دهد) بیمه اتکایی به عنوان عمل 1A زلزله و سونامی توهوکو ژاپن را تکان می دهد. . . و بیمه گذاران اتکایی آن در 11 مارس 2011 در ساعت 14:46 JST، زمین هفتاد کیلومتری (چهل و سه مایل) در نزدیکی شبه جزیره اوشیکا در توهوکو در ژاپن لرزید.1 حتی در کشوری که از نظر تاریخی به خوبی برای زمین های ناپایدار آماده شده بود، این بزرگی نه زمین لرزه فراتر از هر چیزی بود که کسی پیش بینی کرده بود. این قوی ترین زمین لرزه ای بود که تا به حال ژاپن را لرزاند. شوک زیر آب امواج سونامی قدرتمندی تا ارتفاع 40.5 متر ایجاد کرد و ویرانی در خشکی وحشتناک بود: 17500 نفر جان باختند، 6109 نفر مجروح شدند، 2848 نفر مفقود شدند و 340000 نفر از منطقه توهوکو آواره شدند. فراتر از تراژدی انسانی، این یک فاجعه فیزیکی نیز بود: 127290 ساختمان فروریخت، 272788 ساختمان دیگر نیمه فروریخت و 747898 نفر دیگر نیز تا حدی آسیب دیدند. مرکز انرژی هسته‌ای در فوکوشیما دچار بحران شد و هزاران کارمند و ساکنان اطراف را آواره کرد و یک بحران مداوم با پیامدهای وحشتناک برای کل منطقه ایجاد کرد

 

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Author(s): Paula Jarzabkowski, Rebecca Bednarek, Paul Spee

Publisher: Oxford University Press, Year: 2015

ISBN: 0199664765,9780199664764

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Contents List of Reinsurance-as-Practice - Empirical Illustrations xv List of Buyer’s Perspective - Empirical Illustrations xvii List of Figures xix List of Tables xxi 1. Reinsurance: A Market for Acts of God 1 1.1 Introduction 2 1.2 What Is this Market? 3 1.3 What We Did 5 1.4 What Is Being Traded? 8 1.5 Where Is Risk Traded? Hubs for Global Capital Allocation 11 1.6 Theorizing the Market: Advancing a Concept of Nested Relationality 14 1.6.1 A Conceptual Framework: Relationality, Nested Relationality, and Relational Presence 15 1.6.2 Sites of Market-Making Activity 17 1.6.3 Building on Existing Theory 18 1.7 Book Structure 21 2. United We Stand, Divided We Fall: Bearing Risk Collectively 25 2.1 Introduction 25 2.2 Quoting Deals as a Site of Market-Making Activity 27 2.3 General Understandings: Consensus Pricing and Market Cycles 29 2.3.1 Consensus Pricing 30 2.3.2 Market Cycles 33 2.4 Coordinating Through the Renewal Date 36 2.5 Practical Understandings: Renewing Deals Through the Quoting Process 38 2.5.1 Enacting the Quoting Process 38 2.5.2 The Practice of Renewing Business 40 2.6 The Thai Floods: Coordinating Consensus Pricing and Market Cycles 42 2.7 Relationality Between Individual Practice, Consensus Price, and Market Cycle 53 2.8 Further Theorizing 55 2.9 Conclusion 57 xii Contents 3. Transforming Disasters into Tradable Deals 59 3.1 Introduction 59 3.2 Evaluating Deals as Site of Market-Making 62 3.3 General Understanding: Marketization 64 3.4 Coordinating the Market: Models as Calculative Devices 68 3.5 Practical Understanding: Practicing Deal Evaluation 71 3.5.1 Technicalizing 72 3.5.2 Contextualizing 79 3.5.3 Blending Technicalizing and Contextualizing: Generating a Comparable and Tradable Object 84 3.6 Making the Market Through Deal Evaluation 86 3.7 Further Theorizing 88 3.8 Conclusion 90 4. Calculation at the Frontier: Evaluation in the Absence of Models 92 4.1 Introduction 92 4.2 Evaluating Within Risk-Types as a Site of Market-Making 95 4.2.1 Information Quality 95 4.2.2 Standardization 97 4.2.3 Three Categories of Risk-Type 97 4.3 General Understanding: Marketization of Varied Risk-Types 100 4.4 Coordinating Market Practice—Epistemic Cultures 101 4.4.1 Epistemic Cultures and Evaluating Varied Risk-Types 102 4.4.2 Epistemic Cultures and Connectivity 105 4.5 Practical Understandings: Variations in Blending Technicalizing and Contextualizing Among Epistemic Cultures 106 4.5.1 Blending Technicalizing and Contextualizing for Specialized Risk-Types 107 4.5.2 Blending Technicalizing and Contextualizing for Frontier Deals 112 4.5.3 Constructing the Market Through Variations in Blending 115 4.6 Epistemic Cultures in the Relationality Among Actors, Deal, and Market 116 4.7 Further Theorizing 119 4.8 Conclusion 122 5. One Firm’s Trash is Another’s Treasure: Competing in a Consensus Market 124 5.1 Introduction 124 5.2 Firm as Site 125 5.3 General Understandings: Basis of Competition 127 5.3.1 Competition to Establish and Influence the Price 127 Contents xiii 5.3.2 Competing for Share During Quoting and at the Point of Capital Allocation 129 5.4 Coordinating Competition: Reinsurer Risk-Appetite 130 5.5 Practical Understandings: Enacting Risk-Appetite 133 5.5.1 Enacting Risk-Appetite Through Diversification Across Risk-Types 134 5.5.2 Enacting Risk-Appetite Through Relationship Longevity 136 5.5.3 Enacting Risk-Appetite Through Capital Availability 138 5.5.4 Enacting Variations in Evaluations of Profitability Based on Risk-Appetite 140 5.6 Enacting Risk-Appetite as a Competitive Process 141 5.6.1 The Process of Enacting Risk-Appetite 141 5.6.2 Enacting Competition Through Practical Understandings: An Empirical Illustration 143 5.7 Relationalities of Coordinating Competition in a Consensus Market 150 5.7.1 Relationality Among Deal and Portfolio of Risk-Types 151 5.7.2 Relationality Among Firm and Multiple Risk-Types 151 5.7.3 Relationality Among Firm and Deal 151 5.7.4 Relationality Between Firm and Market Cycle 153 5.8 Further Theorizing 153 5.9 Conclusion 156 6. Unraveling the Nest: From a Market for Acts of God to a Market for Commodities 158 6.1 Introduction 158 6.2 Changes in Purchasing Reinsurance Cover 161 6.2.1 Cedents’ Retention of Risk Reduces Global Reinsurance Premium 161 6.2.2 Bundling Risk Changes the Composition of Deals 164 6.2.3 Growth of Alternative Risk Transfer (ART) Products 166 6.3 Pressures on Nested Relationalities 170 6.3.1 Altering Sites of Market-Making 171 6.3.2 Eroding Consensus Pricing and Altering the Basis of Competition 172 6.3.3 Eroding Market Cycles 173 6.3.4 Technicalizing Is Strengthened at the Expense of Contextualizing 174 6.3.5 Altering Risk-Appetite 177 6.4 Ways Forward: Commoditizing Reinsurance Cover 178 6.4.1 Bundling Risks: Losing a Sense of Reality? 178 6.4.2 Taking Catastrophe Modeling too Seriously? 180 xiv Contents 6.4.3 What Is the Purpose of Reinsurance? 181 6.5 Conclusion 182 7. Addressing “Big Questions”: Advancing a Practice Theory of the Market 185 7.1 Introduction 185 7.2 The Theory of Making a Market 186 7.3 Practice Theory—Answering Big Questions 189 Methodology Appendix 193 Glossary 201 References 211 Index 221

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