Idiot's Guides: Options TradingTrading on Sentiment - Original PDF

دانلود کتاب Idiot's Guides: Options TradingTrading on Sentiment - Original PDF

Author: Logue, Ann

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Options are powerful tools for managing financial assets. They can be used to manage risk, generate income, and make money. They’re also complicated. Let’s get that upfront. As a result, too many investors shy away from options because they confuse “complication” with “risk.” Others are led astray by advisers who take advantage of the complication to recommend high- commission, low-return strategies. It’s unfortunate, but it happens. Because options are complicated, though, they are an ideal topic for a book like this. Here, I break down the terminology and function of options to help you understand how you can use them to manage risk and to make money. An option is a contract that gives you the right to buy or sell something at a predetermined price on a predetermined future date. You are not obligated to exercise the contract, so you won’t unless it is to your advantage to do so. Most options are not exercised. It sounds like a goofy thing, doesn’t it? It sounds like something that’s not quite real, not quite practical, and possibly sketchy, doesn’t it? Perhaps it sounds like something that’s used by finan- cial people just to confuse the rest of us. However, options have real value. Suppose you think about an option in another way: as insurance. Your car insurance policy gives you the right, but not the obligation, to file an accident claim up to the amount of value of the car while the policy is in force. You don’t have to file a claim, and it might not be worth your while to even file it if you do have a minor accident that will cost less to repair than to cover your deductible. And yet, that policy has real value to you even if it expires unused. An option is a form of insurance. It is written on the value of an underlying asset, such as a share of stock, a market index, or a foreign currency. Some people buy options to insure against an unfavorable price change.

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Some people sell options to bet that the price change won’t be favorable. They are not bad people. Instead, they are providing the insurance. In a same way, your car insurance company is betting that you won’t get into an accident so that it can keep the premiums you pay each month. The more likely you are to get into an accident, the higher car insurance costs. Parents of newly licensed teenage drivers know this well! And the more likely an option is to be exercised, the higher its cost will be. Traders who buy options for their insurance value are known as hedgers. Those who provide the insurance are known as speculators who are looking to profit from price changes in the options. Speculators aren’t bad folks because they want to profit. The presence of speculators ensures that there’s a healthy market for options. That, in turn, ensures that prices are fair. All this trading

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برخی افراد گزینه‌هایی را می‌فروشند تا شرط‌بندی کنند که تغییر قیمت مطلوب نخواهد بود. آنها افراد بدی نیستند. در عوض، آنها بیمه را ارائه می دهند. به همین ترتیب، شرکت بیمه اتومبیل شما شرط می‌بندد که تصادف نکنید تا بتواند حق بیمه‌هایی را که هر ماه پرداخت می‌کنید حفظ کند. هرچه احتمال تصادف شما بیشتر باشد، هزینه های بیمه خودرو بیشتر می شود. والدین رانندگان نوجوان تازه گواهینامه این را خوب می دانند! و هر چه احتمال استفاده از یک گزینه بیشتر باشد، هزینه آن بیشتر خواهد بود. معامله گرانی که اختیار خرید را برای ارزش بیمه خود خریداری می کنند، به عنوان پوشش دهنده شناخته می شوند. کسانی که بیمه را ارائه می کنند به عنوان سفته بازانی شناخته می شوند که به دنبال سود بردن از تغییرات قیمت در گزینه ها هستند. دلالان افراد بدی نیستند زیرا می خواهند سود ببرند. حضور سفته بازان تضمین می کند که بازاری سالم برای گزینه ها وجود دارد. این به نوبه خود تضمین می کند که قیمت ها منصفانه هستند. همه این معاملات

 

ادامه ...

Author(s): Logue, Ann

Series: Idiot's guides

Publisher: DK Publishing, Year: 2016

ISBN: 9781615648627,9781615648818,161564881X,9781615648825,1615648828

ادامه ...

Idiot’s Guides: Options Tradingvi 8 Call Strategies ............................................................................ 89 Basic Uses of Calls ........................................................................................................................................90 Why Use Long Calls .................................................................................................................................. 93 Being Short a Call ...................................................................................................................................... 93 The Call and Its Premium ......................................................................................................................94 Call Strategies .................................................................................................................................................95 Writing Covered Calls .............................................................................................................................. 95 Writing Naked Calls .................................................................................................................................96 Replacement Therapy ................................................................................................................................96 Call Spreads..................................................................................................................................................96 Butterfly Spreads ......................................................................................................................................100 Condors ........................................................................................................................................................ 104 How to Think About Calls .................................................................................................................. 106 9 Put Strategies ........................................................................... 109 Basic Uses of Puts .......................................................................................................................................110 Long Put Strategies ..................................................................................................................................112 Short Put Strategies .................................................................................................................................113 The Put and the Premium .....................................................................................................................114 Put Strategies.................................................................................................................................................114 Protective Puts ...........................................................................................................................................114 Naked Puts ..................................................................................................................................................115 Put Spreads .................................................................................................................................................115 Married Puts .............................................................................................................................................117 Butterflies ....................................................................................................................................................118 Condors .........................................................................................................................................................121 How to Think About Puts .................................................................................................................... 124 10 Combination Strategies ..........................................................125 Combination Spreads............................................................................................................................... 126 Back Spread ................................................................................................................................................126 Christmas Tree Spread ...........................................................................................................................127 Box Spread ..................................................................................................................................................127 Straddles and Strangles .......................................................................................................................... 127 Straddles ......................................................................................................................................................128 Short Straddle ............................................................................................................................................129 Strangles.......................................................................................................................................................130 Iron Butterflies and Iron Condors......................................................................................................133 Collars and Fences .....................................................................................................................................133 Rolls, Jelly and Plain .................................................................................................................................133 Contents vii Strips and Straps ......................................................................................................................................... 134 Repair Strategies ........................................................................................................................................ 134 Option Repair .............................................................................................................................................134 Stock Repair ................................................................................................................................................135 Part 3: Advanced and Synthetic Strategies .................................. 137 11 Futures, Forwards, and Related Derivatives ......................139 Defining Futures ........................................................................................................................................ 140 Types of Futures Contracts ....................................................................................................................140 Options on Futures ...................................................................................................................................141 Forward Contracts......................................................................................................................................141 Environmental Credits ............................................................................................................................141 Swaps ...................................................................................................................................................................142 Currency Swaps ........................................................................................................................................142 Interest Rate Swaps ..................................................................................................................................143 Commodity Swaps .....................................................................................................................................143 Swaptions ....................................................................................................................................................143 Collateralized Debt Obligations ........................................................................................................143 Credit Default Swaps ................................................................................................................................143 Repurchase Agreements ........................................................................................................................144 LEAPS and Weeklys................................................................................................................................144 12 Synthetic Securities .................................................................147 Setting Up Synthetics.............................................................................................................................. 148 A Synthetic Stock ....................................................................................................................................... 148 Long Synthetic Stock............................................................................................................................... 148 Short Synthetic Stock .............................................................................................................................. 150 Synthetic Options .......................................................................................................................................151 A Synthetic Call ........................................................................................................................................152 Long Synthetic Call..................................................................................................................................152 Short Synthetic Call.................................................................................................................................153 A Synthetic Put..........................................................................................................................................154 Long Synthetic Put ...................................................................................................................................155 Short Synthetic Put ..................................................................................................................................156 The Role of Interest ..................................................................................................................................157 A Reminder About Volatility .................................................................................................................158 Synthetics and Moneyness.....................................................................................................................158 What’s the Downside?..............................................................................................................................158 Idiot’s Guides: Options Tradingviii Why and How to Use Synthetics ..................................................................................................... 159 Can’t Borrow Shares to Short ..............................................................................................................159 No Exchange-Traded Product ..............................................................................................................159 Greater Efficiency on Some Hedges....................................................................................................160 13 Arbitrage..................................................................................... 161 The Law of One Price............................................................................................................................. 162 Arbitrage Strategies ...................................................................................................................................163 Simple Arbitrage ........................................................................................................................................163 Option Arbitrage .......................................................................................................................................164 Scalping ........................................................................................................................................................164 Synthetic Securities ..................................................................................................................................165 Conversion Arbitrage...............................................................................................................................165 Reversal ........................................................................................................................................................167 Box Spreads ................................................................................................................................................169 Interest Rate Arbitrage ............................................................................................................................170 Index Arbitrage ..........................................................................................................................................171 Merger Arbitrage ......................................................................................................................................171 Commissions, Taxes, and Other Considerations ....................................................................172 Commissions................................................................................................................................................172 Dividends ....................................................................................................................................................172 Interest ..........................................................................................................................................................173 Taxes .............................................................................................................................................................173 Problems and Downsides of Arbitrage...............................................................................................173 Pin Risk ........................................................................................................................................................174 High-Frequency Trading .......................................................................................................................174 14 Technical Analysis.....................................................................175 The Basics of Technical Analysis .....................................................................................................176 Intermediate Technical Analysis.......................................................................................................178 Trendlines ...................................................................................................................................................178 Moving Averages ......................................................................................................................................181 Breakouts......................................................................................................................................................182 Volatility.......................................................................................................................................................182 Reversals ......................................................................................................................................................184 Basic Chart Patterns ................................................................................................................................. 184 Pennants and Flags..................................................................................................................................185 Head-and-Shoulders ...............................................................................................................................186 Cup-and-Handle ......................................................................................................................................187 Gaps ...............................................................................................................................................................188 Contents ix Theories of Technical Analysis ........................................................................................................ 188 Fibonacci and Elliott Wave ...................................................................................................................189 Candlestick Charting...............................................................................................................................190 Gann..............................................................................................................................................................191 Putting It All Together ...........................................................................................................................191 15 Fundamental Analysis .............................................................193 Why Analysis Matters............................................................................................................................. 194 Starting with the Macroeconomy .................................................................................................... 194 U.S. Data Sources.....................................................................................................................................195 Global Data Sources ................................................................................................................................195 Analyzing the Underlying Asset....................................................................................................... 196 Single-Stock Options ...............................................................................................................................196 Financial Products ...................................................................................................................................197 Commodities ................................................................................................................................................198 Looking at the Calendar ........................................................................................................................ 199 Fundamental Analysis in Options Trading ...............................................................................200 Putting It All Together .......................................................................................................................... 201 16 Research Services....................................................................203 Determining Your Needs......................................................................................................................204 Your Trading Style ................................................................................................................................. 204 What Drives Your Market ...................................................................................................................205 How You Learn .........................................................................................................................................205 Research Relative to Performance .......................................................................................................205 Types of Research Services .................................................................................................................206 Data .............................................................................................................................................................. 206 Research and Analytics .......................................................................................................................... 207 Trade Ideas ................................................................................................................................................ 208 Training ...................................................................................................................................................... 208 Evaluating the Services ..........................................................................................................................209 Running Some Background Checks ................................................................................................... 209 Are They Running a Service or a Sales Pitch? ..............................................................................210 Using Your Broker ...................................................................................................................................211 Buyer Beware .................................................................................................................................................211 Part 4: The Business of Trading ...................................................... 213 17 Trade Planning...........................................................................215 Pick Your Markets ......................................................................................................................................216 Pick Your Timeframe ...............................................................................................................................216 Idiot’s Guides: Options Tradingx Set Your Goals ..............................................................................................................................................217 Are You Beginning or Advanced? ........................................................................................................217 Are You Speculating or Hedging? ........................................................................................................217 Return Targets...........................................................................................................................................217 The Probability of Ruin .........................................................................................................................218 Risk Limits ..................................................................................................................................................219 Time and Attention..................................................................................................................................219 Cash Management ......................................................................................................................................219 Fixed Fractional ........................................................................................................................................220 Fixed Ratio ..................................................................................................................................................220 Gann..............................................................................................................................................................221 Kelly Criterion ...........................................................................................................................................221 Martingale ..................................................................................................................................................222 Value at Risk...............................................................................................................................................222 Cost of Carry ................................................................................................................................................ 223 Plan Your Trade ... ................................................................................................................................... 223 How Much Money? ..................................................................................................................................223 Why Trade?.................................................................................................................................................223 For How Long? ...........................................................................................................................................224 ... and Trade Your Plan ......................................................................................................................... 224 Order Execution ........................................................................................................................................224 Sticking to Your Limits ..........................................................................................................................225 Keep a Trade Diary .................................................................................................................................. 225 Managing Your Profits ........................................................................................................................... 226 Compounding Returns with the Same Strategy .............................................................................226 Pyramiding..................................................................................................................................................226 Taking Money Off the Table ...............................................................................................................227 18 Taxes ...........................................................................................229 Income and Capital Gains .................................................................................................................... 230 Proceeds and Basis .....................................................................................................................................231 How Options Affect the Tax Basics ............................................................................................... 232 The Tax Rates, Applied ......................................................................................................................... 232 Dividends ....................................................................................................................................................232 Capital Gains .............................................................................................................................................233 Interest Income ...........................................................................................................................................236 Closing an Option Position.................................................................................................................. 237 Using an Offsetting Position ................................................................................................................237 Assignment or Exercise: Call Edition ................................................................................................237 Assignment or Exercise: Put Edition..................................................................................................237 Worthless Expiration ...............................................................................................................................238 Contents xi Straddles .......................................................................................................................................................... 238 Antistraddle Rules ....................................................................................................................................238 The Explanation .......................................................................................................................................238 Antistraddle and Offset Rule Exemptions........................................................................................239 Who Are You, Anyway? ......................................................................................................................... 239 Investors ...................................................................................................................................................... 240 Dealers ......................................................................................................................................................... 240 Traders ........................................................................................................................................................ 240 Options in Retirement Accounts ...................................................................................................... 241 Deducting Investment Expenses ...................................................................................................... 242 Research and Advice ................................................................................................................................242 How to Handle Commissions ................................................................................................................242 Investment Interest ...................................................................................................................................243 The One Expense You Can’t Deduct .................................................................................................243 Hiring a Tax Adviser ................................................................................................................................243 Types of Tax Advisers ............................................................................................................................243 Special Considerations for Traders ................................................................................................... 244 State Taxes................................................................................................................................................. 244 19 Evaluating Performance ......................................................... 247 Learn About Options, Not Strategies ........................................................................................... 248 Testing Before You Trade..................................................................................................................... 248 Backtesting...................................................................................................................................................249 Simulation ...................................................................................................................................................250 Tracking Trades.......................................................................................................................................... 251 A Simple Trading Diary ........................................................................................................................251 Spreadsheet ..................................................................................................................................................252 Setting Up a P&L ...................................................................................................................................252 Calculating Overall Performance .................................................................................................... 252 Types of Return .........................................................................................................................................252 Risk Calculation ........................................................................................................................................255 Benchmarking Performance ..................................................................................................................256 One Final Note............................................................................................................................................ 256 20 Training Your Brain ..................................................................259 Controlling Your Emotions .................................................................................................................260 Doubt .............................................................................................................................................................260 Fear ................................................................................................................................................................261 Greed .............................................................................................................................................................261 Overconfidence...........................................................................................................................................262 Anxiety..........................................................................................................................................................262 Boredom ........................................................................................................................................................263 Depression .................................................................................................................................................. 264 Importance of a Trading Plan ............................................................................................................264 Trading as a Thoughtful Endeavor.................................................................................................. 264 Evaluate Your Plan ................................................................................................................................ 264 Learning, Without Emotion ..................................................................................................................265 Having an Outlet........................................................................................................................................ 265 Balancing Life ............................................................................................................................................266 A Walk-Away Fund .................................................................................................................................266 If You Have a Problem ............................................................................................................................ 267 Appendixes A Glossary .....................................................................................269 B Resources ..................................................................................283 Index ............................................................................................291

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